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  • Ace in the hole*
    Ace Magashule’s 10th November arrest linked to his involvement in the Asbestos Scandal has the potential to be a seismic political event for South Africa, should he be successfully prosecuted and sentenced. This caveat is important, given both the long-standing capacity constraints at the NPA and the botching of previousContinue reading “Ace in the hole*”
Nic Borain Portrait

Nic Borain – Political & Financial Analyst

I am a political analyst focusing on Southern Africa. I have worked as a full-time Southern African political analyst, mostly but not exclusively, in the financial markets for over 30 years.

A current and informed political analysis and risk assessment of South and Southern Africa is crucial to a number of investment and strategy decisions for businesses, multilateral organisations and a variety of other institutions and individuals that operate in the region or plan to do so.

If you are interested in using my services in any of these areas please get in touch, or follow me on Twitter.

Alternatively, click here to get the latest blog posts emailed to you.

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Recent Articles

  • Ace in the hole*
    Ace Magashule’s 10th November arrest linked to his involvement in the Asbestos Scandal has the potential to be a seismic political event for South Africa, should he be successfully prosecuted and sentenced. This caveat is important, given both the long-standing capacity constraints at the NPA and the botching of previous state capture prosecutions, including theContinue reading “Ace in the hole*”
  • The Ramaphosa Heuristic
    Tracking the momentum of Cyril Ramaphosa – his vulnerability to attack within the ANC, his ability and intention to implement structural reforms and accountability for corruption – has become a widely used heuristic for assessing the state of South Africa more generally. A heuristic is a mental shortcut. In this case, it’s a way ofContinue reading “The Ramaphosa Heuristic”
  • Corruption arrests and Land ho!
    Several posts will be attempts to catch up on relevant news, and argue why I think these are, or are not, important. This is one of those. Corruption Arrests Do the corruption arrests constitute a step change in attempts to unpick the tangled web of ‘normal state and economic activity’ from rent-seeking and the criminalContinue reading “Corruption arrests and Land ho!”
  • Under Construction
    Apologies for the inconvenience but this site is undergoing reconstructive surgery – please wear a hat and mask at all times. The regular political commentary that has not been published here for two years will resume when the management finds a WordPress technician who can speak any of South Africa’s official languages. Meanwhile here isContinue reading “Under Construction”